Ufc Fight Night 111 Odds
The UFC heavyweight division is mid-shuffle, determining the new pecking order among the top-ranked contenders as everyone waits for Jon Jones to confirm his heavyweight debut.
Cory Sandhagen (13-2-0) bounced back from his stunning first-round loss to Aljamain Sterling at UFC 250 with an impressive knockout win over Marlon Moraes at UFC Fight Night 179 in October. Sandhagen is now 8-1 over his last nine fights, including a 6-1 record in the UFC. UFC Fight Night 111 - Holm vs. Correia pits Holly The Preacher's Daughter Holm vs Bethe Pitbull Correia fight in Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore, Singapore on Jun 17, 2017. UFC Fight Night 111: Holm vs. Correia odds & betting lines. UFC/MMA odds comparison service. Compare the latest UFC/MMA fight odds and betting lines from the top online sportsbooks. Mixed Martial Arts will heat up the UFC Apex on Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021 and Vegas Insider has all the Predictions, Odds and Preview for UFC Fight Night Alistair Overeem vs. Alexander Volkov. I projected this fight to end inside the distance nearly 88% of the time, and at implied odds of -710, there’s still betting slight value relative to listed odds at -500 (or 83.3%). However, I never lay that much vig, and when such a situation arises, I typically look to the Under 1.5 Rounds in the fight.
Last month it was Alexander Volkov jumping into the top five of the division, and now we have two more top contenders trying to maintain their spots in that group. The main event fighters are ranked close together, but the odds are as steeply contrasted as their fighting styles.
Prelims begin at 5 p.m. Saturday on ESPN+, and the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill.
Heavyweight main event: No. 2 Curtis Blaydes (-420) vs. No. 4 Derrick Lewis (+335)
When odds were first released, Blaydes was a more reasonable sub-3-to-1 favorite. But steady action has pushed his price further and further. It's perhaps a little surprising to see such extreme odds in a heavyweight matchup, where any fighter is one strike away from unconsciousness. Certainly, Lewis has the 'puncher's chance.' But a look at the performance metrics support Blaydes as having advantages everywhere else.
Takedowns early and often have been a key part of Blaydes' normal game plan, and that should remain the case here. His striking was originally just a setup for his wrestling, though more recently he has shown that once he wears an opponent down, he can use his hands to finish a fight. Given Lewis' subpar wrestling, expect Blaydes to exploit that discrepancy out of the gates. And assuming he's successful, he should slow Lewis down and force him to drop hands as the fight wears on.
But what about the power of Lewis? He obviously has heavy hands, though he's not particularly accurate when throwing them. And he averages about half the rate of strike attempts compared to Blaydes when at a distance. Lewis has the lowest volume of output on the feet of any established fighter on the card. So, this upset potential boils down being able to land a big clean shot when Blaydes is closing in and also how many times Lewis can force a position reset. Those fleeting moments will be his only chance, and could disappear altogether if he becomes exhausted on the mat.
Blaydes has faced plenty of stiff talent, including excellent power strikers. He knows how to stay out of danger and will commit to a dominant game plan. Eventually, he should find himself in a position to overwhelm a fatigued Lewis and get a finish.
E+ recommends: Money line play on Blaydes. Fight does not go the distance as a parlay leg. Blaydes inside the distance or by TKO will be the cheapest play for the matchup.
Best bets elsewhere on the card
The co-main event pits the sixth- and seventh-ranked women's bantamweights against each other. Both Ketlen Vieira (-270) and Yana Kunitskaya (+220) like to push the pace on the feet. But neither has scored a knockdown to date, and it's unlikely that either will get a big edge while trading at a distance. It's the closer positions that will decide things.
Kunitskaya spends a lot of time in the clinch and has owned positional control while there. If she can keep the fight on the fence, she'll get an edge. However, her takedown defense has been questionable so far. Meanwhile, Vieira has gotten the fight to the mat more often, and she has shown better control once there. She'll want to get this fight to the ground, and she'll have the advantage there.
E+ recommends: Money line play on Vieira.
Deep on the undercard, there's value lurking on an underdog. Luis Pena's (+155) performance metrics look better on paper than those of Drakkar Klose (-180) in nearly every way. Though Pena is still relatively new -- and he's stepping up in competition -- he's also still improving his game. His return has been dropping since opening, but there's still some value left on the 'dog here.
E+ recommends: Money line lean on Pena.
The Ultimate Fighting Championship has a jam-packed schedule and this Saturday we are getting what should be a very entertaining heavyweight fight between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Ciryl Gane. Here’s a complete preview, including updated UFC odds and our betting pick.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Ciryl Gane
UFC Heavyweight Bout – Main Event
Saturday, February 27, 2021 – 10:00 PM EDT at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas
In the main event of the evening, Jairzinho Rozenstruik faces Ciryl Gane. UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. A limited number of fans will be in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic. With plenty of betting lines and markets currently available, let’s attempt to find some value for our UFC picks on Saturday’s main event.
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Introduction, Background and UFC Career
Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a problem for anyone that has the balls to get in the cage with him. The Surinamese fighter began training in kickboxing at age 17 and he turned pro shortly after. Rozenstruik found success immediately and while has just 12 professional MMA fights, he has seen and done it all as a kickboxer, with 76 wins (64 via stoppage) in 84 fights.
'Bigi Boy' made his MMA debut in 2012, looking to dominate the scene and he went 6-0 in various regional promotions before the UFC noticed and signed him to a multi-fight contract. Rozenstruik beat Junior Albini via TKO in his debut with the promotion at UFC Fight Night 144 on February 2nd, 2019 and he's 5-1 since. Rozenstruik's five UFC wins were via knockout and he’s finished three of his opponents in less than one minute. In his last fight, he stopped former UFC heavyweight champion Junior dos Santos in the second round at UFC 252 on August 15th.
- Born: March 17th, 1988
- Age: 32
- Country: Suriname
- Height: 6’2″
- Weight: 248 lbs
- Reach: 78″
- Stance: Orthodox
- Association: Sanford MMA
- Class: Heavyweight
- Record: 11-1
Stats
Octagon Strengths
- KO power almost like nothing we’ve seen before
- Unmatched kickboxing skills
- His counter work remains his best area
Octagon Weaknesses
- His grappling inexperience
Ciryl Gane
Introduction, Background and UFC Career
Ciryl Gane has a small professional MMA record of 7-0 (4-0 in the UFC) but he's a familiar name for Muay Thai fans. A former champion in that discipline, the French went a perfect 7-0 in Muay Thai before transitioning into MMA and he's used to competing at the highest level throughout his career.
A former TKO heavyweight champion, Gane has six wins by either KO/TKO or submission in his career. Tanner Boser at UFC Fight Night 165 on December 21st, 2019 was the only person able to take Gane to the judge's scorecards. Gane last fought at UFC 256 on December 12th, stopping former UFC heavyweight champion Junior dos Santos in the second round.
- Born: May 6th, 1990
- Age: 30
- Country: France
- Height: 6’5″
- Weight: 248 lbs
- Reach: 81″
- Stance: Orthodox
- Association: MMA Factory
- Class: Heavyweight
- Record: 7-0
Stats
Octagon Strengths
- Devastating kicking and punching power
- Undefeated as a professional in MMA and Muay Thai (14-0)
- Former TKO heavyweight champion
- Four-fight UFC experience
Octagon Weaknesses
Ufc Fight Night Betting Odds
- None so far, but this will be his first main event
Prediction
Rozenstruik is not afraid to get hit once to give back two. His counterpunching will be important in this fight. Gane has confidently pieced apart all his opponents, transitioning into MMA with style and it's hard to deny him the victory until he shows a weakness. Still, Rozenstruik can drop a perfect left hand on Gane's chin and end the fight at any time.
Don't sleep on Gane's ground game, three of his six career stoppages were via submission and he can surprise us on Saturday. This is his first five-round fight and as seen with Rozenstruik against Overeem, he can finish any fight late. This should be a fun fight but I doubt it goes the distance.
My Pick:Fight starts Round 3 (-150) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)